TY - JOUR T1 - COronary heart disease risk factors and mortality AU - Banack HR, Harper S, Kaufman JS Y1 - 2012/03/21 N1 - 10.1001/jama.2012.324 JO - JAMA SP - 1137 EP - 1138 VL - 307 IS - 11 N2 - To the Editor: The study by Dr Canto and colleagues1 provides an example of an epidemiological phenomenon that deserves wider recognition. Differential selection from an underlying population cohort into a study data set can reverse the direction of observed associations, making a deleterious factor appear protective. It is well-known that conditioning on a variable that is affected by both an exposure and outcome can produce a distortion known as selection bias.2 Admission into the analysis data set in this study was a function of both the exposure (number of cardiovascular risk factors) and the outcome (all-cause, in-hospital, or 30-day mortality) because deaths occurring before hospitalization and patients with existing cardiovascular disease diagnoses were excluded. Approximately 30% of MIs lead to death prior to hospitalization.3 In the study, 75% of those who were admitted to the hospital after their MI were excluded (1.62 million of 2.16 million; Figure 1 in the article). SN - 0098-7484 M3 - doi: 10.1001/jama.2012.324 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1001/jama.2012.324 ER -