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Commentary |

Time-Limited Trials Near the End of Life

Timothy E. Quill, MD; Robert Holloway, MD, MPH
[+] Author Affiliations

Author Affiliations: Center for Ethics, Humanities and Palliative Care (Drs Quill and Holloway) and Departments of Medicine (Dr Quill) and Neurology (Dr Holloway), University of Rochester Medical Center, Rochester, New York.


JAMA. 2011;306(13):1483-1484. doi:10.1001/jama.2011.1413
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Published online

Clinicians, patients, and families frequently face scenarios in which they must make decisions near the end of life about whether to initiate major interventions in circumstances in which the outcome is uncertain. They do not want to prematurely forgo treatments that might help, but they also may not want to risk indefinite exposure to burdensome treatments. The possibility of a time-limited trial (TLT) of treatment may provide a way forward.

A TLT is an agreement between clinicians and a patient/family to use certain medical therapies over a defined period to see if the patient improves or deteriorates according to agreed-on clinical outcomes. If the patient improves, disease-directed therapy continues. If the patient deteriorates, the therapies involved in the trial are withdrawn, and goals frequently shift more purely to palliation. If significant clinical uncertainty remains, another TLT might be renegotiated.

A TLT begins with an assessment of the patient's current clinical status, preferences, and prognosis with or without the treatment in question. In addition to disease-related factors, the patient's cognitive and functional status is generally relevant.1 If the patient is unable to participate in decision making, surrogates should use “substituted judgment” to keep the patient's voice alive.2 The benefits and burdens of initiating or forgoing the intervention, and whether knowledge about its efficacy for the patient can be ascertained within a specified time frame, should be carefully weighed.

Clinical uncertainty impacts these decisions. For some patients, a 5% chance of surviving in any functional state will be enough to go forward, whereas for others any significant prospect of functional deterioration would preclude any trial of treatment. Some patients, as they get sicker, will accept treatments more aggressive than they thought they would when healthy.3 Physicians contribute to uncertainty as well, tending to err systematically in either optimistic and pessimistic directions when presenting poor prognostic information.4 Although patients and families generally want honesty with compassion when discussing prognosis, their desire to be told the truth may waver as prognosis gets worse.5 Many patients and families prefer their physicians to assist and often make challenging medical decisions on their behalf.6 Moreover, some patients are too ill to make these decisions themselves, so the burden of decision making falls on family members who may be hesitant about limiting any treatment.7

A strategy for discussing TLTs is outlined in the Box. TLTs have 5 key sequential elements:

Preparation

Select a main medical communicator and key clinicians to involve

Identify key patient and family decision maker(s)

Seek consensus among medical teams about clinical condition and prognosis

Identify clear clinical markers of improvement or deterioration

Beginning of the Family Meeting

Each person should introduce himself or herself, including how he or she relates to the patient

Review purpose of meeting

Solicit family members' views of patient's situation

Reconcile clinicians' understanding with that of the patient or family

Consider a TLT

Propose key components of TLT

Discuss how progress will be measured and communicated

Negotiate time frame for reevaluation

Schedule a follow-up meeting

Follow up at Scheduled Intervals Depending on the TLT

Regularly inform family about progress

If treatment is working, propose next steps

If treatment is not working, next steps might include (1) negotiating a different TLT or (2) proposing a plan for treatment withdrawal

  1. Define clinical problem and prognosis. All treating clinicians should agree about the patient's medical status and treatment options. If some invasive life-sustaining therapies have already been started, are others likely to be needed in the future? How long will it take for a clear prognosis to emerge? Are some invasive treatments (eg, cardiopulmonary resuscitation) so unlikely to benefit the patient that some limits should be recommended from the outset?8

  2. Clarify the patient's goals and priorities. Can the patient understand his or her clinical circumstances? If the patient is unable to speak for himself or herself, has he or she done any advance care planning? Are surrogate decision-makers in agreement about the patient's wishes?

  3. Identify objective markers of improvement or deterioration. If possible, get all treating teams to agree on these parameters and try to link them to signs that would be visible to the patient and family.

  4. Suggest a time frame for reevaluation. This time frame will be determined by the patient's clinical condition, the intervention(s) in question, and the needs of the patient and family. Time frames may range from hours to months depending on the specific trial (Table). Although clinicians should try to be as objective as possible, unanticipated changes in a patient's condition may require rethinking TLT parameters.

  5. Define potential actions at the end of the TLT. These are not rigidly binding contracts but rather ways of structuring challenging decisions and linking them closely with what clinicians and families are observing about the patient's condition.

Table Grahic Jump LocationTable. Examples of Time-Limited Trials (TLTs)

Framing challenging medical decisions as TLTs when patients have a chance of responding to treatment but a greater chance of deteriorating can allow families to become better informed about how physicians are trying to proportionately balance benefits and burdens of medical treatment. This process also helps the medical teams reach consensus so they can speak with a unified voice. TLTs help establish mutual expectations, guidance, and a regular structured dialogue about how the patient is progressing, lessening the chance of conflict among treatment teams and the patient or family. TLTs also may provide a way of finding a middle ground with patients who want “everything” done vs unilaterally trying to limit treatment.9

However, TLTs also have limitations. If clinical deterioration is rapidly unfolding, there may not be sufficient time to formally initiate a TLT. Furthermore, in today's fragmented health care environment, the risk of health care professionals disagreeing with one another and thereby undermining the trial is substantial. Some families also disagree among themselves, making adhering to a complex TLT difficult. Managing conflict and strong emotions from family members when the patient is deteriorating clinically is one of the more challenging parts of this process. Successful TLTs ultimately require considerable trust and a meaningful relationship between the health care team and the family, and maintaining such relationships in these circumstances can be challenging.

There is little empirical evidence as to the benefits and risks of TLTs. These “trials” are analogous to the “Plan-Do-Study-Act” method of quality improvement and could be integrated within disease management programs.10 They also could be incorporated into the care of patients as part of continuous improvement (an alternative term such as “time-limited therapy” might be used to prevent interpretation of their intent as research). The effects of framing these challenging decisions as a TLT vs usual care, however, could be studied in terms of effects on decisions made, clinical outcomes, and effects on patients, families, and health care professionals.7 Critical questions remain about how TLTs might appropriately alter treatment practices for patients with life-threatening illness and make variations more patient-centered.

Corresponding Author: Timothy E. Quill, MD, Palliative Care Program, University of Rochester Medical Center, 601 Elmwood Ave, Box 687, Rochester, NY 14642 (timothy_quill@urmc.rochester.edu).

Conflict of Interest Disclosures: The authors have completed and submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest. Dr Quill reported receiving payment for lectures on aspects of palliative care and receiving book royalties. Dr Holloway reported receiving grants from the National Institutes of Health (UL1RR024160-05;5R01NS062770); serving as associate editor of Neurology Today ; and serving as a reviewer of neurology guidelines for Milliman Guidelines Inc.

Lunney JR, Lynn J, Foley DJ, Lipson S, Guralnik JM. Patterns of functional decline at the end of life.  JAMA. 2003;289(18):2387-2392
PubMed
Tulsky JA. Beyond advance directives: importance of communication skills at the end of life.  JAMA. 2005;294(3):359-365
PubMed
Ubel PA, Lowenstein G, Schwarz N, Smith D. Misimagining the unimaginable: the disability paradox and healthcare.  Health Psychol. 2005;2(4 suppl)  S57-S62
PubMed
Christakis NA, Lamont EB. Extent and determinants of error in doctors' prognoses in terminally ill patients.  BMJ. 2000;320(7233):469-472
PubMed
Hagerty RG, Butow PN, Ellis PA,  et al.  Cancer patient preferences for communication of prognosis in the metastatic setting.  J Clin Oncol. 2004;22(9):1721-1730
PubMed
Chung GS, Lawrence RE, Curlin FA, Arora V, Meltzer DO. Predictors of hospitalised patients' preferences for physician-directed medical decision-making [published online ahead of print June 22, 2011].  J Med Ethicsdoi:
CrossRef

PubMed
Wendler D, Rid A. Systematic review: the effect on surrogates of making treatment decisions for others.  Ann Intern Med. 2011;154(5):336-346
PubMed
Quill TE, Brody H. Physician recommendations and patient autonomy.  Ann Intern Med. 1996;125(9):763-769
PubMed
Quill TE, Arnold R, Back AL. Discussing treatment preferences with patients who want “everything.”  Ann Intern Med. 2009;151(5):345-349
PubMed
Berwick DM. Developing and testing changes in delivery of care.  Ann Intern Med. 1998;128(8):651-656
PubMed

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Figures

Tables

Table Grahic Jump LocationTable. Examples of Time-Limited Trials (TLTs)

Interactive Graphics

Video

Country-Specific Mortality and Growth Failure in Infancy and Yound Children and Association With Material Stature

Use interactive graphics and maps to view and sort country-specific infant and early dhildhood mortality and growth failure data and their association with maternal

Lunney JR, Lynn J, Foley DJ, Lipson S, Guralnik JM. Patterns of functional decline at the end of life.  JAMA. 2003;289(18):2387-2392
PubMed
Tulsky JA. Beyond advance directives: importance of communication skills at the end of life.  JAMA. 2005;294(3):359-365
PubMed
Ubel PA, Lowenstein G, Schwarz N, Smith D. Misimagining the unimaginable: the disability paradox and healthcare.  Health Psychol. 2005;2(4 suppl)  S57-S62
PubMed
Christakis NA, Lamont EB. Extent and determinants of error in doctors' prognoses in terminally ill patients.  BMJ. 2000;320(7233):469-472
PubMed
Hagerty RG, Butow PN, Ellis PA,  et al.  Cancer patient preferences for communication of prognosis in the metastatic setting.  J Clin Oncol. 2004;22(9):1721-1730
PubMed
Chung GS, Lawrence RE, Curlin FA, Arora V, Meltzer DO. Predictors of hospitalised patients' preferences for physician-directed medical decision-making [published online ahead of print June 22, 2011].  J Med Ethicsdoi:
CrossRef

PubMed
Wendler D, Rid A. Systematic review: the effect on surrogates of making treatment decisions for others.  Ann Intern Med. 2011;154(5):336-346
PubMed
Quill TE, Brody H. Physician recommendations and patient autonomy.  Ann Intern Med. 1996;125(9):763-769
PubMed
Quill TE, Arnold R, Back AL. Discussing treatment preferences with patients who want “everything.”  Ann Intern Med. 2009;151(5):345-349
PubMed
Berwick DM. Developing and testing changes in delivery of care.  Ann Intern Med. 1998;128(8):651-656
PubMed
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