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Coronary Artery Calcium Score and Cardiovascular Event Prediction

Axel Diederichsen, MD, PhD; Hans Mickley, MD, DmSci
JAMA. 2010;304(7):741-742. doi:10.1001/jama.2010.1142
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To the Editor: In their cohort study, Dr Polonsky and colleagues1 confirmed that coronary calcification is a significant predictor of cardiovascular events. However, several important questions remain unanswered.

The coronary artery calcium score (CACS) has a very poor ability to discriminate between those who will and those who will not experience a clinical cardiovascular event. In this study with a median of 5.8 years of follow-up, 122 acute cardiovascular events occurred among the 5878 participants (aged 45-84 years; mean age, 62 years). The majority of persons with coronary calcium will not experience a clinical event,2 and because approximately one-third of the middle-aged population and almost 100% of the older population have coronary calcification,3 the performance of a CACS test may cause unnecessary anxiety in the general population.

The importance of this issue could have been illuminated by presenting the mean CACS in persons with vs persons without cardiovascular events. It would be of interest if the authors could present the cardiovascular event rates in different person subgroups according to CACS (eg, 0, 1-100, 101-300, >300).

AUTHOR INFORMATION

Financial Disclosures: None reported.

REFERENCES

Polonsky TS, McClelland RL, Jorgensen NW,  et al.  Coronary artery calcium score and risk classification for coronary heart disease prediction.  JAMA. 2010;303(16):1610-1616
PubMedCrossRef
Detrano R, Guerci AD, Carr JJ,  et al.  Coronary calcium as a predictor of coronary events in four racial or ethnic groups.  N Engl J Med. 2008;358(13):1336-1345
PubMedCrossRef
McClelland RL, Chung H, Detrano R, Post W, Kronmal RA. Distribution of coronary artery calcium by race, gender, and age: results from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).  Circulation. 2006;113(1):30-37
PubMedCrossRef

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Polonsky TS, McClelland RL, Jorgensen NW,  et al.  Coronary artery calcium score and risk classification for coronary heart disease prediction.  JAMA. 2010;303(16):1610-1616
PubMedCrossRef
Detrano R, Guerci AD, Carr JJ,  et al.  Coronary calcium as a predictor of coronary events in four racial or ethnic groups.  N Engl J Med. 2008;358(13):1336-1345
PubMedCrossRef
McClelland RL, Chung H, Detrano R, Post W, Kronmal RA. Distribution of coronary artery calcium by race, gender, and age: results from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).  Circulation. 2006;113(1):30-37
PubMedCrossRef
August 18, 2010
John W. McEvoy, MB, MRCPI
JAMA. 2010;304(7):741-742.
August 18, 2010
Tamar S. Polonsky, MD; Philip Greenland, MD
JAMA. 2010;304(7):741-742.
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