Objectives
To evaluate the impact of perinatal zidovudine use on the risk of perinatal
transmission of HIV and to determine risk factors for transmission among women
using perinatal zidovudine.
Design
Prospective cohort study of 1533 children born to HIV-infected women
between 1985 and 1995 in four US cities.
Methods
The association of potential risk factors with perinatal HIV transmission
was assessed with univariate and multivariate statistics.
Results
The overall transmission risk was 18% [95% confidence interval (CI),
16-21]. Factors associated with transmission included membrane rupture >4
h before delivery [relative risk (RR), 2.1; 95% CI, 1.6-2.7], gestational
age <37 weeks (RR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.4-2.2), maternal CD4+ lymphocyte count
<500 ×106 cells/l (RR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.3-2.2), birthweight
<2500 g (RR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.3-2.1), and antenatal and neonatal zidovudine
use (RR, 0.6; 95% CI, 0.4-0.9). For infants exposed to zidovudine antenatally
and neonatally, the transmission risk was 13% overall but was significantly
lower following shorter duration of membrane rupture (7%) and term delivery
(9%). The transmission risk declined from 22% before 1992 to 11% in 1995 (P<
0.001) in association with increasing zidovudine use and changes in other
risk factors.
Conclusions
Perinatal HIV transmission risk has declined with increasing perinatal
zidovudine use and changes in other factors. Further reduction in transmission
for women taking zidovudine may be possible by reducing the incidence of other
potentially modifiable risk factors, such as long duration of membrane rupture
and prematurity.