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ARTICLE |

Seeking a Balanced Physician Workforce for the 21st Century FREE

Richard A. Cooper, MD
[+] Author Affiliations

Reprint requests to Health Policy Institute, Medical College of Wisconsin, 8701 Watertown Plank Rd, Milwaukee, WI 53226 (Dr Cooper).


JAMA. 1994;272(9):680-687. doi:10.1001/jama.1994.03520090044017
Text Size: A A A
Published online

THE HALLS of academia and the chambers of Congress echo with a call for more primary care physicians. Much of this stems from the need that managed care systems have for more primary care providers.1-4 In addition, many believe that more primary care physicians would improve access to care in rural towns and inner cities.5-7 There also is a perception that we have too many specialists and that the care they provide is too expensive,3,8-14 and there is alarm that the proportion of physicians training in primary care is decreasing.4,7-9,14-20

A consensus has developed that better balance in the proportion of primary care physicians and specialists must be achieved, and this consensus has been translated into a specific proposal: that the percentage of medical graduates entering the primary care disciplines of family medicine, general internal medicine, and general pediatrics be increased from the recent levels of

REFERENCES

Kronick R, Goodman DC, Wennberg J, Wagner E.  The marketplace in health care reform. N Engl J Med . 1993;;328:148-152.
Weiner JP.  Forecasting the effects of health reform on US physician workforce requirements: evidence from HMO staffing patterns. JAMA . 1994;; 272:222-230.
Wennberg JE, Goodman DC, Nease RF, Keller RB.  Finding equilibrium in US physician supply. Health Aff (Millwood) . 1993;;12:90-103.
Mullan F, Rivo ML, Politzer RM. Doctors, dollars  and determination: making physician workforce policy. Health Aff (Millwood) . 1993;;12( (suppl) ):138-151.
Center for General Health Services Intramural Research. National Medical Expenditure Survey: Health Status and Access to Care of Rural and Urban Populations . Washington, DC: Agency for Health Care Policy and Research; 1994;. Research findings 18.
Ginzberg E.  Improving health care for the poor. JAMA . 1994;;271:464-467.
Council on Graduate Medical Education. Improving Access to Health Care Through Physician Workforce Reform: Directions for the 21st Century . Washington, DC: US Department of Health and Human Services; 1992;.
Schroeder SA.  The US physician supply: generalism in retreat. Bull N Y Acad Med . 1993;;70:103-117.
Schroeder S, Sandy LG.  Specialty distribution of US physicians: the invisible driver of health care costs. N Engl J Med . 1993;;328:961-963.
Greenfield S, Nelson EC, Zubkoff M, et al.  Variation in resource utilization among medical specialties and systems of care. JAMA . 1992;;267:1624-1630.
Welch WP, Miller ME, Welch G, et al.  Geographic variation in expenditures for physicians' services in the United States. N Engl J Med . 1993;;328:621-627.
Rosenblatt RA.  Specialists or generalists: on whom should we base the American health care system? JAMA . 1992;;267:1665-1666.
Grumbach K, Lee PR.  How many physicians can we afford? JAMA . 1991;;265:2369-2372.
Physician Payment Review Commission. Annual Report to Congress . Washington, DC: Physician Payment Review Commission; 1993;:55-85.
Association of American Medical Colleges.  Policy on the generalist physician. Acad Med . 1993;;68:1-6.
Cohen JJ.  Transforming the size and composition of the physician workforce to meet the demands of health care reform. N Engl J Med . 1994;;329:1810-1812.
Levinsky NG.  Recruiting for primary care. N Engl J Med . 1993;;328:656-660.
Petersdorf RG.  The doctor is in. Acad Med . 1993;; 68:113-122.
Colwill JM.  Where have all the primary care applicants gone? N Engl J Med . 1992;;326:387-393.
Rivo ML, Satcher D.  Improving access to health care through physician workforce reform: directions for the 21st century. JAMA . 1993;;270:1074-1078.
Rivo ML, Jackson DM, Clare FL.  Comparing physician workforce recommendations. JAMA . 1993;; 270:1083-1084.
Schroeder SA.  Western European responses to physician oversupply: lessons to the United States. JAMA . 1984;;252:373-384.
Whitcomb ME. Medical Education/Physician Workforce Issues, England, France and Germany: Report to the Office of Health Professions Analysis and Research . Washington, DC: Bureau of Health Professions; 1994;.
American Medical Association. Physician Characteristics and Distribution in the US . Chicago, Ill: American Medical Association; 1993;.
Kindig DA, Cultice JM, Mullan FH.  The elusive generalist physician: can we reach a 50% goal? JAMA . 1993;;270:1069-1073.
Lundberg GD, Lamm RD.  Solving our primary care crisis by retraining specialists to gain specific primary care competencies. JAMA . 1993;;270:380-381.
Ginzberg E.  More primary care physicians: an oversimplified answer.  In: Is Primary Care the Answer? Proceedings of the Forum for Medical Affairs . Lake Success, NY: Organization of State Medical Association Presidents; 1993;:77-86.
Kindig DA.  Counting generalist physicians. JAMA . 1994;;271:1505-1507.
Meyer CT.  The case for osteopathic physicians.  In: The General Internist: Who, What, Where, When, How and Why! Philadelphia, Pa: American Board of Internal Medicine; 1993;:97-107.
Rogers JF. Trends in US Health Care 1992 . Chicago, Ill: American Medical Association; 1992;:68-69.
Rich EC, Wilson M, Midtling J, Showstack J.  Preparing generalist physicians: the organizational and policy context. J Gen Intern Med . 1994;;9( (suppl 1) ):S115-S122.
Franks P, Nutting PA, Clancy CM.  Health care reform, primary care, and the need for research. JAMA . 1993;;270:1449-1453.
Starfield B. Primary Care: Concept, Evaluation and Policy . New York, NY: Oxford University Press; 1992;.
Kimball HR, Young PR.  A statement on the generalist physician from the American Boards of Family Practice and Internal Medicine. JAMA . 1994;; 271:315-316.
Rivo ML, Saultz JW, Wartman SA, DeWitt TG.  Defining the generalist physician's training. JAMA . 1994;;271:1499-1504.
Aiken LH, Lewis CE, Craig J, Mendenhall RC, Blendon RJ, Rogers D.  The contribution of specialists to the delivery of primary care. N Engl J Med . 1979;;300:1363-1370.
Spiegel JS, Rubenstein LV, Scott B, Brook RH.  Who is the primary care physician? N Engl J Med . 1983;;308:1208-1212.
Schwartz WB, Sloan FA, Mendelson DN.  Why there will be little or no physician surplus between now and the year 2000. N Engl J Med . 1988;;318:892-897.
Schroeder SA.  The health manpower challenge to internal medicine. Ann Intern Med . 1987;;106:768-770.
Reuben DB, Zwanziger J, Bradley TB, et al.  How many physicians will be needed to provide medical care for older persons? physician manpower needs for the twenty-first century. J Am Geriatr Soc . 1993;; 41:444-453.
Williams AP, Schwartz WB, Newhouse JP, Bennett BW.  How many miles to the doctor? N Engl J Med . 1983;;309:958-963.
Kravitz RL, Greenfield S, Rogers W, et al.  Differences in the mix of patients among medical specialties and systems of care: results from the Medical Outcomes Study. JAMA . 1992;;267:1617-1623.
Safran DG, Tarlov AR, Rogers WH.  Primary care performance in fee-for-service and prepaid health care systems: results from the Medical Outcomes Study. JAMA . 1994;;271:1579-1586.
Hendee WR, Urlakis MA, Blackwelder M.  The Health Information Technology Center at the Medical College of Wisconsin. Wis Med J . 1994;;93:159-162.
Kassirer JP.  What role for nurse practitioners in primary care? N Engl J Med . 1994;;330:204-205.
Mundinger MO.  Advanced-practice nursing: good medicine for physicians? N Engl J Med . 1994;;330: 211-213.
DeAngelis CD.  Nurse practitioner redux. JAMA . 1994;;271:868-871.
Jones PE, Cawley JF.  Physician assistants and health care reform: clinical capabilities, practice activities, and potential roles. JAMA . 1994;;271:1266-1272.
Cawley JF.  Case for the physician assistants.  In: The General Internist: Who, What, Where, When, How and Why! Philadelphia, Pa: American Board of Internal Medicine; 1993;:117-133.
Fowkes V, Gamel N, Garcia RD, Wilson SR, Stewart BR. Assessment of Physician Assistant (PA), Nurse Practitioner (NP) and Nurse-Midwife (CNM) Training on Meeting Health-Care Needs of the Underserved . Washington, DC: Bureau of Health Professions, US Dept of Health and Human Services; 1993;.
Eisenberg DM, Kessler RC, Foster C, Norlock FE, Calkins DR, Delblanco TL.  Unconventional medicine in the United States: prevalence, cost and patterns of use. N Engl J Med . 1993;;328:246-252.
Gates PR.  The office of alternative medicine: investigating the future. Alternative Med J . 1994;;1:12-15.
Association of American Medical Colleges, Graduate Medical Education. Tracking Census, SAIMS Database . Washington, DC: Association of American Medical Colleges; 1994;.
National Center for Health Statistics. National Vital Statistics System in Health: United States, 1991 . Washington, DC: US Dept of Health and Human Services; 1992;:19. DHHS publication PHS92-1232.
US Bureau of Census. Population Projections of the United States by Age, Sex, Race, Hispanic Origin: 1992 to 2050 . Washington, DC: US Government Printing Office; 1992;. Current population report P25-1092.
Kennedy P. Preparing for the Twenty-first Century . New York, NY: Random House; 1993;:21-46.
Iglehart JK.  Health policy report: health care reform and graduate medical education. N Engl J Med . 1994;;330:1167-1171.
Kassebaum DG, Szenas PL.  Specialty preferences of 1993 medical school graduates. Acad Med . 1993;;68:866-869.
1993 Institutional Goals Ranking Report . Washington, DC: Association of American Medical Colleges; 1993;.
Kassebaum D.  Factors influencing the specialty choices of 1993 medical school graduates. Acad Med . 1994;;69:164-170.
Foster EA.  Long-term follow-up of an alternative medical curriculum. Acad Med . 1994;;69:501-506.
Steinbrook R.  Money and career choice. N Engl J Med . 1994;;330:1311-1312.
Matriculating Student Survey Results, 1993 . Washington, DC: Association of American Medical Colleges; 1994;.
Stoddard JJ, Kindig DA, Libby D.  Graduate medical education reform: service provision transition costs. JAMA . 1994;;272:53-58.
Whitcomb ME. The Impact of National Graduate Medical Education (GME) Reform Goals on the GME Activity of Individual States . Princeton, NJ: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation; April 1994;. Report 23577.
Reinhardt UE.  Coverage and access in health care reform. N Engl J Med . 1994;;330:1452-1453.
Petersdorf RG.  Financing medical education: a universal 'Berry plan' for medical students. N Engl J Med . 1993;;328:651-654.
Johns MME.  Mandatory national health service: an idea whose time has come. JAMA . 1993;;269:3156-3157.
Scherr L, Benson JA, Walt AJ, Blank LL.  Graduate medical education: a national resource in need of renewal.  In: Taking Charge of Graduate Medical Education: To Meet the Nation's Needs in the 21st Century . New York, NY: Josia Macy Jr Foundation; 1993;:151-179.
Wall EM, Saultz JW.  Retraining the subspecialist for a primary care career: four possible pathways. Acad Med . 1994;;69:261-266.
Report of the Graduate Medical National Advisory Committee: Summary Report . Washington, DC: US Dept of Health and Human Services; 1981;. DHHS publication HRA 81-651.
Tarlov AR.  Shattuck lecture: the increasing supply of physicians, the changing structure of the health services system, and the future practice of medicine. N Engl J Med . 1983;;308:1235-1244.
Petersdorf RG.  Regulating the supply of internists: whose hand should be on the spigot? Internist (Berl) . 1994;;35:7-9.
Cooper RA.  Regulation won't solve our workforce problems. Internist (Berl) . 1994;;35:10-13.
Nolan J.  Why we need government regulation. Internist (Berl) . 1994;;35:14-17.
Feil EC, Welch HG, Fisher ES.  Why estimates of physician supply and requirements disagree. JAMA . 1993;;269:2659-2663.
Reinhardt UE.  Health manpower forecasting: the case of physician supply in health services research.  In: Ginzberg E, ed. Key to Health Policy . Cambridge, Mass: Harvard University Press; 1991;.
Martini CJM.  Medical workforce planning and medical education: attaining consensus. JAMA . 1993;; 270:1101-1104.
Ginzberg E.  Physician supply in the year 2000. Health Aff (Millwood) . 1989;;8:84-90.
Rogers DE.  On trust: a basic building block for healing doctor/patient interactions. Pharos . 1994;;57: 2-6.

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Country-Specific Mortality and Growth Failure in Infancy and Yound Children and Association With Material Stature

Use interactive graphics and maps to view and sort country-specific infant and early dhildhood mortality and growth failure data and their association with maternal

Kronick R, Goodman DC, Wennberg J, Wagner E.  The marketplace in health care reform. N Engl J Med . 1993;;328:148-152.
Weiner JP.  Forecasting the effects of health reform on US physician workforce requirements: evidence from HMO staffing patterns. JAMA . 1994;; 272:222-230.
Wennberg JE, Goodman DC, Nease RF, Keller RB.  Finding equilibrium in US physician supply. Health Aff (Millwood) . 1993;;12:90-103.
Mullan F, Rivo ML, Politzer RM. Doctors, dollars  and determination: making physician workforce policy. Health Aff (Millwood) . 1993;;12( (suppl) ):138-151.
Center for General Health Services Intramural Research. National Medical Expenditure Survey: Health Status and Access to Care of Rural and Urban Populations . Washington, DC: Agency for Health Care Policy and Research; 1994;. Research findings 18.
Ginzberg E.  Improving health care for the poor. JAMA . 1994;;271:464-467.
Council on Graduate Medical Education. Improving Access to Health Care Through Physician Workforce Reform: Directions for the 21st Century . Washington, DC: US Department of Health and Human Services; 1992;.
Schroeder SA.  The US physician supply: generalism in retreat. Bull N Y Acad Med . 1993;;70:103-117.
Schroeder S, Sandy LG.  Specialty distribution of US physicians: the invisible driver of health care costs. N Engl J Med . 1993;;328:961-963.
Greenfield S, Nelson EC, Zubkoff M, et al.  Variation in resource utilization among medical specialties and systems of care. JAMA . 1992;;267:1624-1630.
Welch WP, Miller ME, Welch G, et al.  Geographic variation in expenditures for physicians' services in the United States. N Engl J Med . 1993;;328:621-627.
Rosenblatt RA.  Specialists or generalists: on whom should we base the American health care system? JAMA . 1992;;267:1665-1666.
Grumbach K, Lee PR.  How many physicians can we afford? JAMA . 1991;;265:2369-2372.
Physician Payment Review Commission. Annual Report to Congress . Washington, DC: Physician Payment Review Commission; 1993;:55-85.
Association of American Medical Colleges.  Policy on the generalist physician. Acad Med . 1993;;68:1-6.
Cohen JJ.  Transforming the size and composition of the physician workforce to meet the demands of health care reform. N Engl J Med . 1994;;329:1810-1812.
Levinsky NG.  Recruiting for primary care. N Engl J Med . 1993;;328:656-660.
Petersdorf RG.  The doctor is in. Acad Med . 1993;; 68:113-122.
Colwill JM.  Where have all the primary care applicants gone? N Engl J Med . 1992;;326:387-393.
Rivo ML, Satcher D.  Improving access to health care through physician workforce reform: directions for the 21st century. JAMA . 1993;;270:1074-1078.
Rivo ML, Jackson DM, Clare FL.  Comparing physician workforce recommendations. JAMA . 1993;; 270:1083-1084.
Schroeder SA.  Western European responses to physician oversupply: lessons to the United States. JAMA . 1984;;252:373-384.
Whitcomb ME. Medical Education/Physician Workforce Issues, England, France and Germany: Report to the Office of Health Professions Analysis and Research . Washington, DC: Bureau of Health Professions; 1994;.
American Medical Association. Physician Characteristics and Distribution in the US . Chicago, Ill: American Medical Association; 1993;.
Kindig DA, Cultice JM, Mullan FH.  The elusive generalist physician: can we reach a 50% goal? JAMA . 1993;;270:1069-1073.
Lundberg GD, Lamm RD.  Solving our primary care crisis by retraining specialists to gain specific primary care competencies. JAMA . 1993;;270:380-381.
Ginzberg E.  More primary care physicians: an oversimplified answer.  In: Is Primary Care the Answer? Proceedings of the Forum for Medical Affairs . Lake Success, NY: Organization of State Medical Association Presidents; 1993;:77-86.
Kindig DA.  Counting generalist physicians. JAMA . 1994;;271:1505-1507.
Meyer CT.  The case for osteopathic physicians.  In: The General Internist: Who, What, Where, When, How and Why! Philadelphia, Pa: American Board of Internal Medicine; 1993;:97-107.
Rogers JF. Trends in US Health Care 1992 . Chicago, Ill: American Medical Association; 1992;:68-69.
Rich EC, Wilson M, Midtling J, Showstack J.  Preparing generalist physicians: the organizational and policy context. J Gen Intern Med . 1994;;9( (suppl 1) ):S115-S122.
Franks P, Nutting PA, Clancy CM.  Health care reform, primary care, and the need for research. JAMA . 1993;;270:1449-1453.
Starfield B. Primary Care: Concept, Evaluation and Policy . New York, NY: Oxford University Press; 1992;.
Kimball HR, Young PR.  A statement on the generalist physician from the American Boards of Family Practice and Internal Medicine. JAMA . 1994;; 271:315-316.
Rivo ML, Saultz JW, Wartman SA, DeWitt TG.  Defining the generalist physician's training. JAMA . 1994;;271:1499-1504.
Aiken LH, Lewis CE, Craig J, Mendenhall RC, Blendon RJ, Rogers D.  The contribution of specialists to the delivery of primary care. N Engl J Med . 1979;;300:1363-1370.
Spiegel JS, Rubenstein LV, Scott B, Brook RH.  Who is the primary care physician? N Engl J Med . 1983;;308:1208-1212.
Schwartz WB, Sloan FA, Mendelson DN.  Why there will be little or no physician surplus between now and the year 2000. N Engl J Med . 1988;;318:892-897.
Schroeder SA.  The health manpower challenge to internal medicine. Ann Intern Med . 1987;;106:768-770.
Reuben DB, Zwanziger J, Bradley TB, et al.  How many physicians will be needed to provide medical care for older persons? physician manpower needs for the twenty-first century. J Am Geriatr Soc . 1993;; 41:444-453.
Williams AP, Schwartz WB, Newhouse JP, Bennett BW.  How many miles to the doctor? N Engl J Med . 1983;;309:958-963.
Kravitz RL, Greenfield S, Rogers W, et al.  Differences in the mix of patients among medical specialties and systems of care: results from the Medical Outcomes Study. JAMA . 1992;;267:1617-1623.
Safran DG, Tarlov AR, Rogers WH.  Primary care performance in fee-for-service and prepaid health care systems: results from the Medical Outcomes Study. JAMA . 1994;;271:1579-1586.
Hendee WR, Urlakis MA, Blackwelder M.  The Health Information Technology Center at the Medical College of Wisconsin. Wis Med J . 1994;;93:159-162.
Kassirer JP.  What role for nurse practitioners in primary care? N Engl J Med . 1994;;330:204-205.
Mundinger MO.  Advanced-practice nursing: good medicine for physicians? N Engl J Med . 1994;;330: 211-213.
DeAngelis CD.  Nurse practitioner redux. JAMA . 1994;;271:868-871.
Jones PE, Cawley JF.  Physician assistants and health care reform: clinical capabilities, practice activities, and potential roles. JAMA . 1994;;271:1266-1272.
Cawley JF.  Case for the physician assistants.  In: The General Internist: Who, What, Where, When, How and Why! Philadelphia, Pa: American Board of Internal Medicine; 1993;:117-133.
Fowkes V, Gamel N, Garcia RD, Wilson SR, Stewart BR. Assessment of Physician Assistant (PA), Nurse Practitioner (NP) and Nurse-Midwife (CNM) Training on Meeting Health-Care Needs of the Underserved . Washington, DC: Bureau of Health Professions, US Dept of Health and Human Services; 1993;.
Eisenberg DM, Kessler RC, Foster C, Norlock FE, Calkins DR, Delblanco TL.  Unconventional medicine in the United States: prevalence, cost and patterns of use. N Engl J Med . 1993;;328:246-252.
Gates PR.  The office of alternative medicine: investigating the future. Alternative Med J . 1994;;1:12-15.
Association of American Medical Colleges, Graduate Medical Education. Tracking Census, SAIMS Database . Washington, DC: Association of American Medical Colleges; 1994;.
National Center for Health Statistics. National Vital Statistics System in Health: United States, 1991 . Washington, DC: US Dept of Health and Human Services; 1992;:19. DHHS publication PHS92-1232.
US Bureau of Census. Population Projections of the United States by Age, Sex, Race, Hispanic Origin: 1992 to 2050 . Washington, DC: US Government Printing Office; 1992;. Current population report P25-1092.
Kennedy P. Preparing for the Twenty-first Century . New York, NY: Random House; 1993;:21-46.
Iglehart JK.  Health policy report: health care reform and graduate medical education. N Engl J Med . 1994;;330:1167-1171.
Kassebaum DG, Szenas PL.  Specialty preferences of 1993 medical school graduates. Acad Med . 1993;;68:866-869.
1993 Institutional Goals Ranking Report . Washington, DC: Association of American Medical Colleges; 1993;.
Kassebaum D.  Factors influencing the specialty choices of 1993 medical school graduates. Acad Med . 1994;;69:164-170.
Foster EA.  Long-term follow-up of an alternative medical curriculum. Acad Med . 1994;;69:501-506.
Steinbrook R.  Money and career choice. N Engl J Med . 1994;;330:1311-1312.
Matriculating Student Survey Results, 1993 . Washington, DC: Association of American Medical Colleges; 1994;.
Stoddard JJ, Kindig DA, Libby D.  Graduate medical education reform: service provision transition costs. JAMA . 1994;;272:53-58.
Whitcomb ME. The Impact of National Graduate Medical Education (GME) Reform Goals on the GME Activity of Individual States . Princeton, NJ: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation; April 1994;. Report 23577.
Reinhardt UE.  Coverage and access in health care reform. N Engl J Med . 1994;;330:1452-1453.
Petersdorf RG.  Financing medical education: a universal 'Berry plan' for medical students. N Engl J Med . 1993;;328:651-654.
Johns MME.  Mandatory national health service: an idea whose time has come. JAMA . 1993;;269:3156-3157.
Scherr L, Benson JA, Walt AJ, Blank LL.  Graduate medical education: a national resource in need of renewal.  In: Taking Charge of Graduate Medical Education: To Meet the Nation's Needs in the 21st Century . New York, NY: Josia Macy Jr Foundation; 1993;:151-179.
Wall EM, Saultz JW.  Retraining the subspecialist for a primary care career: four possible pathways. Acad Med . 1994;;69:261-266.
Report of the Graduate Medical National Advisory Committee: Summary Report . Washington, DC: US Dept of Health and Human Services; 1981;. DHHS publication HRA 81-651.
Tarlov AR.  Shattuck lecture: the increasing supply of physicians, the changing structure of the health services system, and the future practice of medicine. N Engl J Med . 1983;;308:1235-1244.
Petersdorf RG.  Regulating the supply of internists: whose hand should be on the spigot? Internist (Berl) . 1994;;35:7-9.
Cooper RA.  Regulation won't solve our workforce problems. Internist (Berl) . 1994;;35:10-13.
Nolan J.  Why we need government regulation. Internist (Berl) . 1994;;35:14-17.
Feil EC, Welch HG, Fisher ES.  Why estimates of physician supply and requirements disagree. JAMA . 1993;;269:2659-2663.
Reinhardt UE.  Health manpower forecasting: the case of physician supply in health services research.  In: Ginzberg E, ed. Key to Health Policy . Cambridge, Mass: Harvard University Press; 1991;.
Martini CJM.  Medical workforce planning and medical education: attaining consensus. JAMA . 1993;; 270:1101-1104.
Ginzberg E.  Physician supply in the year 2000. Health Aff (Millwood) . 1989;;8:84-90.
Rogers DE.  On trust: a basic building block for healing doctor/patient interactions. Pharos . 1994;;57: 2-6.
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