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Update: Influenza Activity—United States and Worldwide, 1994-95 Season, and Composition of the 1995-96 Influenza Vaccine

JAMA. 1995;273(20):1565-1566. doi:10.1001/jama.1995.03520440017015.
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World Health Organization.  Recommended composition of influenza virus vaccines for use in the 1995-96 season. Wkly Epidemiol Rec 1995;70:53-6.
CDC.  Update: influenza activity—United States and worldwide, 1993-94 season, and composition of the 1994-95 influenza vaccine. MMWR 1994;43:179-83.
CDC.  Prevention and control of influenza: recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP). MMWR 1995;44(no. (RR-3) ).
Levels of activity are (1) sporadic—sporadically occurring influenza-like illness (ILI) or culture-confirmed influenza, with no outbreaks detected; (2) regional-outbreaks of ILI or culture-confirmed influenza in counties having a combined population of <50% of the state's total population; and (3) widespread-outbreaks of ILI or culture-confirmed influenza in counties having a combined population of ≥50% of the state's total population.
The epidemic threshold is 1.645 standard deviations above the seasonal baseline. The expected seasonal baseline is projected using a robust regression procedure in which a periodic regression model is applied to observed percentages of deaths from pneumonia and influenza since 1983.

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