Access to paid content on this site is currently suspended due to excessive activity being detected from your IP address Please contact the publisher to request reinstatement.
We're unable to sign you in at this time. Please try again in a few minutes.
We were able to sign you in, but your subscription(s) could not be found. Please try again in a few minutes.
There may be a problem with your account. Please contact the AMA Service Center to resolve this issue.
Contact the AMA Service Center:
Telephone: 1 (800) 262-2350 or 1 (312) 670-7827  *   Email: subscriptions@jamanetwork.com
Error Message ......
Article |

Epidemic intelligence thrives on mystery

Bruce B. Dan, MD
JAMA. 1983;250(9):1131-1132. doi:10.1001/jama.1983.03340090007004.
Text Size: A A A
Published online


When they race around Emory University's presidential estate, they are perhaps the most select group of cross-country runners in the world. Hailing from as far away as the jungles of Jakarta, the valleys of Ouagadougou, Upper Volta, and the streets of São Paulo, 150 entrants compete over the course. But the runner who crosses the finish line first is not the winner.

Instead, in keeping with the group's precision in predicting epidemics around the world, the winner is the person who can most accurately predict his or her time over the meticulously measured 3,218.688-meter "EIS Prediction Run."

EIS stands for Epidemic Intelligence Service, and the runners are all present or former members of this elite investigative corps of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) in Atlanta (JAMA MEDICAL NEWS 1979;241:2776-2782). In the last few years, EIS officers have been responsible for large parts of such major achievements as determining the


Sign in

Purchase Options

• Buy this article
• Subscribe to the journal
• Rent this article ?




Also Meets CME requirements for:
Browse CME for all U.S. States
Accreditation Information
The American Medical Association is accredited by the Accreditation Council for Continuing Medical Education to provide continuing medical education for physicians. The AMA designates this journal-based CME activity for a maximum of 1 AMA PRA Category 1 CreditTM per course. Physicians should claim only the credit commensurate with the extent of their participation in the activity. Physicians who complete the CME course and score at least 80% correct on the quiz are eligible for AMA PRA Category 1 CreditTM.
Note: You must get at least of the answers correct to pass this quiz.
Please click the checkbox indicating that you have read the full article in order to submit your answers.
Your answers have been saved for later.
You have not filled in all the answers to complete this quiz
The following questions were not answered:
Sorry, you have unsuccessfully completed this CME quiz with a score of
The following questions were not answered correctly:
Commitment to Change (optional):
Indicate what change(s) you will implement in your practice, if any, based on this CME course.
Your quiz results:
The filled radio buttons indicate your responses. The preferred responses are highlighted
For CME Course: A Proposed Model for Initial Assessment and Management of Acute Heart Failure Syndromes
Indicate what changes(s) you will implement in your practice, if any, based on this CME course.


Some tools below are only available to our subscribers or users with an online account.

0 Citations

Sign in

Purchase Options

• Buy this article
• Subscribe to the journal
• Rent this article ?

Related Content

Customize your page view by dragging & repositioning the boxes below.