Public Health Service. Coolfont report: a PHS plan for prevention and control of AIDS and the AIDS virus . Public Health Rep 1986;;101:341-8.
Buehler JW, Devine OJ, Berkelman RL, Chevarley FM. Impact of the human immunodeficiency virus epidemic on mortality trends in young men, United States . Am J Public Health (in press).
Dondero TJ, St. Louis M, Anderson J, Petersen L, Pappaioanou M. Evaluation of the estimated number of HIV infections using a spreadsheet model and empirical data (Abstract) . V International Conference on AIDS. Montreal, June 4-9 , 1989;:45.
Brookmeyer R, Damiano A. Statistical methods for short-term projections of AIDS incidence . Stat Med 1989;;8:23-34.
Brookmeyer R, Gail MH. A method for obtaining short-term projections and lower bounds on the size of the AIDS epidemic . J Am Stat Assoc 1988;;83:301-8.
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Garland FC, Mayers DL, Hickey TM, et al. Incidence of human immunodeficiency virus seroconversion in U.S. Navy and Marine Corps personnel, 1986 through 1988 . JAMA 1989;;262:3161-5.
McNeil JG, Brundage JF, Wann ZF, Burke DS, Miller RN, and the Walter Reed Retrovirus Research Group. Direct measurement of human immunodeficiency virus seroconversions in a serially tested population of young adults in the United States Army, October 1985 to October 1987 . N Engl J Med 1989;;320:1581-5.
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Munoz A, Carey V, Saah A, et al. Predictors in the decline in CD4 lymphocytes in a cohort of homosexual partners infected with the human immunodeficiency virus . J AIDS 1988;;1:396-404.
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Estimates were developed from workshop reports and may not be endorsed by all participants.
Single copies of this document will be available until February 23,1991, from the National AIDS Information Clearinghouse, P.O. Box 6003, Rockville, MD 20850; telephone (800) 458-5231. The full report and recommendations from the workshop will be published in a future issue of MMWR Recommendations and Reports.
CDC estimates that 70%-90% of all HIV-related deaths in young adult men are reported through AIDS surveillance2 and that 85% of all diagnosed AIDS cases are reported.