JAMA. 1927;89(26):2205-2206. doi:10.1001/jama.1927.02690260053021.
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The Falling Birth Rate  The birth rate of England and Wales for the third quarter of the present year is the lowest ever recorded in any third quarter, not excluding the years of war. Thus, for the first time, the exceedingly low rates obtained during the war have been surpassed. The idea that the "war birth rate" was a purely temporary phenomenon can no longer be entertained. The birth rates in England and Wales in third quarters since 1913, per thousand living, were:The annual rates for the years 1913-1926 are as follows:If, then, the last quarter of the present year should fall below that of last year, the annual birth rate will have dropped in peace time below the war time figures. The birth rate today is half what it was forty years ago. The live births registered in the third quarter numbered 164,009, and were 7,071 fewer


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