0
Letters |

Comparing Results From Meta-analyses vs Large Trials—Reply

John P. A. Ioannidis, MD; Joseph C. Cappelleri, PhD, MPH; Joseph Lau, MD
JAMA. 1998;280(6):518-519. doi:10-1001/pubs.JAMA-ISSN-0098-7484-280-6-jac057001.
Text Size: A A A
Published online

Extract

In Reply.—The purpose of our article was not to show that in comparing large trials and meta-analyses one approach was flawed and the other sound. On the contrary, we tried to describe the potential strengths and weaknesses of these complementary approaches that, when scrutinized, lead to similar conclusions. Still, Drs LeLorier and Gregoire question specifically the meaning and representativeness of the Villar and Cappelleri approach as compared with their "external comparison" approach. However, we believe, particularly for meaning and representativeness, it is mostly the external comparison approach that suffers from bias. A large trial is likely to be conducted after a meta-analysis on exactly the same clinical question, if the meta-analysis is either nonconclusive, but shows important trends, or is conclusive (reaches formal statistical significance), but seems unreliable. In both cases, a subsequent adequately powered large trial may often "disagree" with the meta-analysis at the level of attained statistical significance. Retrieving large trials from influential journals further magnifies this selection bias: such journals would not favor publishing "no news" squaring with old evidence. If, on the other hand, the meta-analysis is considered both reliable and conclusive, then a subsequent large trial is likely to be looking at a different question or a different patient population; then the "external comparison" approach lacks meaning, since purposefully heterogeneous research is compared.

Sign In to Access Full Content

Don't have Access?

Register and get free email Table of Contents alerts, saved searches, PowerPoint downloads, CME quizzes, and more

Subscribe for full-text access to content from 1998 forward and a host of useful features

Activate your current subscription (AMA members and current subscribers)

Purchase Online Access to this article for 24 hours

First Page Preview

View Large
First page PDF preview

Figures

Tables

Interactive Graphics

Video

Country-Specific Mortality and Growth Failure in Infancy and Yound Children and Association With Material Stature

Use interactive graphics and maps to view and sort country-specific infant and early dhildhood mortality and growth failure data and their association with maternal

References

CME
Accreditation Information
The American Medical Association is accredited by the Accreditation Council for Continuing Medical Education to provide continuing medical education for physicians. The AMA designates this journal-based CME activity for a maximum of 1 AMA PRA Category 1 CreditTM per course. Physicians should claim only the credit commensurate with the extent of their participation in the activity. Physicians who complete the CME course and score at least 80% correct on the quiz are eligible for AMA PRA Category 1 CreditTM.
Note: You must get at least of the answers correct to pass this quiz.
You have not filled in all the answers to complete this quiz
The following questions were not answered:
Sorry, you have unsuccessfully completed this CME quiz with a score of
The following questions were not answered correctly:
Commitment to Change (optional):
Indicate what change(s) you will implement in your practice, if any, based on this CME course.
Your quiz results:
The filled radio buttons indicate your responses. The preferred responses are highlighted
For CME Course: A Proposed Model for Initial Assessment and Management of Acute Heart Failure Syndromes
Indicate what changes(s) you will implement in your practice, if any, based on this CME course.
NOTE:
Citing articles are presented as examples only. In non-demo SCM6 implementation, integration with CrossRef’s “Cited By” API will populate this tab (http://www.crossref.org/citedby.html).
Submit a Response

Some tools below are only available to our subscribers or users with an online account.

Sign In to Access Full Content

Related Content

Customize your page view by dragging & repositioning the boxes below.

Jobs